July 14, 2026

 

USDA significantly cuts reported beef export sales

 

 

The US Department of Agriculture dramatically lowered its reported beef export sales on July 9, sparking fresh concerns about the quality of the agency's data after staffing losses as part of the ‌Trump administration's reshaping of the federal government.

 

USDA said exporters in late June sold a net 12,064 metric tonnes of US beef to foreign buyers, 90% lower than the volume it originally reported a week earlier.

 

Traders had largely dismissed USDA's initial report as inaccurate.

 

Trust in USDA reports has suffered among traders, analysts and farmers following deep staff losses and after the agency significantly underestimated corn acres last year.

 

USDA also delayed a quarterly agricultural trade report and excluded findings that pointed to tariffs as a reason for a forecast increase in the agricultural trade deficit, which analysts said raised questions about its objectivity.

 

The agency said on July 10 that data integrity and accuracy were its highest priorities.

USDA said it received incorrect beef export sales data and published it in a weekly report on July 2. The data showed that 2026 sales reached a high of 126,062 metric tonnes in the week that ended on June 25, up nearly 500% from a week earlier.

 

Traders and analysts had quickly cast doubt on the unusually large increase because it included sales to some countries that were several times larger than those countries had ever purchased from the United States. Amy Harding, an export sales reporting specialist with USDA, told Reuters that it had confirmed numbers with an exporting company.

 

"Should the USDA have caught it? Probably," said Austin Schroeder, a commodity analyst at Brugler Marketing & Management. "They may have just overlooked it."

 

In the first half of last year, USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service, which oversees export sales reporting, lost about 21% of its employees, according to government data.

 

US beef prices have set records this year because of tight cattle supplies and strong demand for hamburgers and steaks from domestic consumers. Exports have declined since 2022 because of increased prices ‌and reduced production. The US has increased beef imports to make up for low domestic supplies.

 

"We're priced out of the world market to a certain extent," Schroeder said. "It wouldn't make a lot of sense for that big of an export number."

 

USDA data released on July 2 included record sales of 38,434 metric tonnes to Chile and 32,274 metric tonnes to Italy, neither traditionally a major market for US beef. On July 9, USDA revised those sales to 367 tonnes to Chile and 350 tonnes to Italy. The agency also revised sales downward to 14 other countries.

 

Exporters are required to report exports and sales to the USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service in the week during which they occur.

 

This spring, the USDA launched a new export sales reporting system after a failed roll-out in 2022 delayed export sales reports for three weeks.

"It wouldn't be a shock to see some minor corrections following their switch to the new reporting system in March, but nowhere near this volume," Mike Castle, senior commodities economist for consultancy StoneX, said.

 

Before correcting the figures, the USDA said on July 2 that multiple sales had been reported late and that it had confirmed the accuracy of data with an exporter.

 

"As part of the Export Sales Reporting team's data review of weekly submissions, the exporting company was contacted and the ESR team confirmed that the quantities are correct and were reported as MTs," ​USDA's Harding said at the time, using an abbreviation for metric tonnes.

 

On July 9, the USDA said the exports had been "reported in error." A spokesperson said the agency was committed to learning from errors.

 

"The July 2 beef export sales data was an isolated processing issue due to a combination of data accumulating over several months and exporters reporting late," the spokesperson said.

 

- Reuters