May 22, 2012


Ukraine's 2012 wheat output may fall deeply due to poor weather



Ukraine's 2012 winter grain harvest is likely to have a great decline to 14 million tonnes, including no more than 12 million tonnes of wheat, from 23 million in 2011 due to poor weather, a senior weather forecaster said on Monday (May 21).


"We see the harvest of 10 million-12 million tonnes of wheat in 2012 and this figure will not be revised significantly," Tetyana Adamenko, head of the agricultural department of Ukraine's meteorological service, told Reuters.


Ukraine, which consumes about 26 million tonnes of wheat per season, harvested 22.3 million tonnes of wheat in 2011.


Adamenko last month said that the wheat crop expected at 11 million-14 million tonnes due to poor weather during sowing and wintering.


"We had a drought in eastern and southern Ukraine, but recent rains had improved the condition of crops. But some regions, Kherson and Mykolayiv, saw no significant rains," she said.


Adamenko said that presently hot weather could reduce the grain yields but forecasters predicted a sharp change in weather next week.


"We expect a fall in daily temperatures and a lot of rain. It could help corn and sunflower," she said.


Ukraine's Farm Ministry has said the former Soviet republic could harvest about 14 million tonnes of wheat this year. The ministry said a higher harvest of corn could compensate the fall in the wheat production.


The ministry has said farms have increased the area sown for corn to 4.5 million hectares in 2012 from 3.5 million in 2011.