December 16, 2009
Ag Canada adjusts 2009-10 grain, oilseed ending stocks higher
Ending stocks of Canada's grain and oilseed crops in the 2009-10 crop year will be higher than previous expectations, especially for wheat and canola, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's market analysis division said Tuesday (December 15).
Ending stocks of the eight major grains and oilseeds in the 2009-10 (August-July) crop year were forecast at 14.670 million metric tonnes. This was up from the Oct. 8 forecast of 12.145 million tonnes and is just below the 2008-09 level of 15.019 million.
The eight major grains and oilseeds produced in Canada are canola, flaxseed, soy, wheat, oats, barley, corn and rye.
The increased ending stocks were largely a result of an increase in production, as reported by Statistics Canada.
Production of the eight major grains and oilseeds in 2009-10 was forecast at 65.145 million tonnes. This estimate is up from the October level of 61.739 million tonnes but still below the 2008-09 level of 72.635 million.
Total exports of the eight major grains and oilseeds in 2009-10 were pegged at 31.133 million tonnes, up from the October projection of 29.983 million, but below the 2008-09 level of 34.200 million.
Total domestic usage of the various grains and oilseeds for the 2009-10 crop year was estimated at 36.877 million tonnes. This was down from the October forecast of 37.132 million but slightly above the 2008-09 level of 36.006 million.
|
  |
Production |
Exports | ||||
|
  |
2009-10 December 15 |
2009-10 October 8 |
Sep-08 |
2009-10 December 15 |
2009-10 October 08 |
Sep-08 |
|
*All Wheat |
26.515 |
24.58 |
28.611 |
18 |
16.9 |
18.606 |
|
Durum |
5.4 |
5.066 |
5.519 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
3.639 |
|
Barley |
9.518 |
9.165 |
11.781 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.378 |
|
Corn |
9.561 |
9.739 |
10.592 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.237 |
|
Oats |
2.798 |
2.9 |
4.273 |
2 |
2 |
2.43 |
|
Canola |
11.825 |
10.27 |
12.643 |
6 |
6 |
7.908 |
|
Flaxseed |
0.93 |
0.965 |
0.861 |
0.45 |
0.45 |
0.603 |
|
Soy |
3.504 |
3.597 |
3.336 |
1.95 |
1.9 |
1.87 |
|
  |
Domestic Usage |
Ending Stocks | ||||
|
  |
2009-10 December 15 |
2009-10 Oct 08 |
Sep-08 |
2009-10 December 15 |
2009-10 October 08 |
Sep-08 |
|
*All Wheat |
8.132 |
8.158 |
7.881 |
7 |
6.1 |
6.556 |
|
Durum |
0.899 |
0.965 |
0.804 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.897 |
|
Barley |
7.896 |
7.943 |
8.171 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
2.843 |
|
Corn |
11.718 |
11.896 |
11.728 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.857 |
|
Oats |
1.34 |
1.342 |
1.282 |
1 |
1.1 |
1.527 |
|
Canola |
5.461 |
5.33 |
4.65 |
2.15 |
0.75 |
1.661 |
|
Flaxseed |
0.212 |
0.197 |
0.205 |
0.5 |
0.55 |
0.227 |
|
Soy |
1.749 |
1.867 |
1.722 |
0.3 |
0.325 |
0.22 |











