December 16, 2009

 

Ag Canada adjusts 2009-10 grain, oilseed ending stocks higher

 

 

Ending stocks of Canada's grain and oilseed crops in the 2009-10 crop year will be higher than previous expectations, especially for wheat and canola, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's market analysis division said Tuesday (December 15).

 

Ending stocks of the eight major grains and oilseeds in the 2009-10 (August-July) crop year were forecast at 14.670 million metric tonnes. This was up from the Oct. 8 forecast of 12.145 million tonnes and is just below the 2008-09 level of 15.019 million.

 

The eight major grains and oilseeds produced in Canada are canola, flaxseed, soy, wheat, oats, barley, corn and rye.

 

The increased ending stocks were largely a result of an increase in production, as reported by Statistics Canada.

 

Production of the eight major grains and oilseeds in 2009-10 was forecast at 65.145 million tonnes. This estimate is up from the October level of 61.739 million tonnes but still below the 2008-09 level of 72.635 million.

 

Total exports of the eight major grains and oilseeds in 2009-10 were pegged at 31.133 million tonnes, up from the October projection of 29.983 million, but below the 2008-09 level of 34.200 million.

 

Total domestic usage of the various grains and oilseeds for the 2009-10 crop year was estimated at 36.877 million tonnes. This was down from the October forecast of 37.132 million but slightly above the 2008-09 level of 36.006 million.

  

Dec. 15 estimates for Canadian 2009-10 and 2008-09 grain and oilseed supply and demand. Domestic usage numbers include food and industrial use as well as feed, waste, and dockage. 
 
In million tonnes:
 
Source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. 
 

 

Production

Exports

 

2009-10 December 15

2009-10 October 8

Sep-08

2009-10 December 15

2009-10 October 08

Sep-08

*All Wheat

26.515

24.58

28.611

18

16.9

18.606

Durum

5.4

5.066

5.519

3.7

3.9

3.639

Barley

9.518

9.165

11.781

2.3

2.3

2.378

Corn

9.561

9.739

10.592

0.3

0.3

0.237

Oats

2.798

2.9

4.273

2

2

2.43

Canola

11.825

10.27

12.643

6

6

7.908

Flaxseed 

0.93

0.965

0.861

0.45

0.45

0.603

Soy

3.504

3.597

3.336

1.95

1.9

1.87

             
             

 

Domestic Usage

Ending Stocks

 

2009-10 December 15

2009-10 Oct 08

Sep-08

2009-10 December 15

2009-10 October 08

Sep-08

*All Wheat

8.132

8.158

7.881

7

6.1

6.556

Durum

0.899

0.965

0.804

2.7

2.1

1.897

Barley

7.896

7.943

8.171

2.2

1.8

2.843

Corn

11.718

11.896

11.728

1.4

1.4

1.857

Oats

1.34

1.342

1.282

1

1.1

1.527

Canola

5.461

5.33

4.65

2.15

0.75

1.661

Flaxseed 

0.212

0.197

0.205

0.5

0.55

0.227

Soy

1.749

1.867

1.722

0.3

0.325

0.22

    

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