November 30, 2012
Brazil may import Northern Hemisphere wheat
After a weak South American harvest, Brazil will have to turn to the Northern Hemisphere in order to meet their demand for wheat.
This is according to the head of one of the country's top flour milling groups on Wednesday (Nov 28).
Brazil's nearly-harvested wheat crop is smaller than normal as is the case in neighbouring Argentina, which is usually the source of 80% of Brazilian wheat imports.
Lawrence Pih, president of Brazil's biggest flour milling group Moinho Pacifico, said, "I've been in the business for 47 years, and this is one of the most difficult years in terms of supply of raw material."
European traders said Brazil had made a rare purchase of German wheat. When it does do deals outside South America, Brazil usually imports wheat from Canada and the US.
Brazil's crop supply agency Conab forecasts Brazil's wheat production at 4.4 million tonnes, compared to 5.7 million tonnes last year, because of heavy rain in a short period of time. Demand for wheat, however, is between 10 million and 11 million tonnes annually.
Argentina is expected to produce 11.1 million tonnes of wheat in the 2012-13 crop year, down from the government's previous forecast of 11.5 million tonnes due to flooding, the country's agriculture ministry said on November 22.
Brazil's Conab expects imports at seven million tonnes, 16.67% more than last year and the largest since 2007. Brazil imported 7.8 million tonnes in the 2006-07 season.
Pih said at least one million tonnes will come from outside of Mercosur, the South American trade bloc, raising costs for Brazilian importers, who are also being squeezed by a weaker real, the Brazilian currency. Consumers will also pay more for bread and pasta.
"Costs for the raw material are much higher than six months ago, around 40%," Pih said.
Considering the effect of exchange rates, the increase in real costs for the period was 60%, he said. The Brazilian currency has depreciated about 11% this year against the dollar.
