August 21, 2006

 

ASA weekly: Biofuel plans; Argentina-Monsanto soy battle

 

 

New biodiesel refineries and state support for biofuel plants

 

The Associated Press reports that an Iowa company plans to build a dozen biodiesel refineries in the United States by 2010, creating about 500 jobs. Renewable Energy Group Inc says it has raised $100 million toward the plants, which will increase its biodiesel production to 640 million gallons annually.

 

Five of the biodiesel plants will be in Iowa. The company will own some of the new plants as well as build and manage others for clients. Locations and a total cost for the plants have not been determined.

 

The refineries will use soybeans or animal fat for biodiesel. New plants will vary from 30 million gallons to 60 million gallons per year. A 30 million-gallon plant costs about $40 million, and a 60 million-gallon plant costs up to $65 million to build.

 

Meanwhile, Illinois is providing $25 million in grants and other aid to companies building five ethanol and biodiesel plants in the state, according to governor Rod Blagojevich. The plants will spur about $334 million in private investment, produce 225 million gallons of biofuels each year using corn and soybeans, and create almost 150 jobs, he said.

 

Biodiesel blends of 11 percent or higher and 85 percent ethanol blends are exempt from state sales tax.

 

The US burned about 62 billion gallons of diesel fuel last year, but only about 75 million gallons of biodiesel was used. However, that is up significantly from 1999, when only 500,000 gallons of the soybean-based fuel was burned.

 

Argentina says the EU supports its legal battle over use of Monsanto seeds

 

The Bureau of National Affairs reports that Argentina said the European Union sided with it on its legal dispute with Monsanto, which has been blocking Argentine shipments of GM soybeans and soy by-products to Europe in a bid to collect unpaid royalties.

 

"In an official statement, the EU's Directorate General for Internal Market and (Financial) Services confirmed the Argentine government's interpretation that soymeal derived from genetically modified seed imported by the European Union does not infringe Monsanto's patents," Argentina's Economy Ministry said in a statement.

 

Monsanto has managed to have courts seize Argentine soybeans and soy by-products in Spain, Britain, Denmark and the Netherlands as part of its legal battle. Monsanto's Roundup Ready seed has patent protection in Europe but not in Argentina.

 

While the company says it did try to obtain but was denied copyright protection, the government says the firm failed to comply with all legal requirements on deadline. And, a widespread black market in Argentina means that an estimated 80 percent of the GM soybean seeds come from replanted seed, and not from original seed purchased from Monsanto, according to the company.

  

Argentina expects 40.5 million tonnes soy

 

Argentina produced a record 40.5 million tonnes of soybeans in 2005-06, up 5.7 percent from the 38.3 million tonnes produced a year earlier, the Agriculture Secretariat reported.

 

Area planted increased to 15.3 million hectares, up 6.5% from the 14.4 million hectares planted in 2004-05, the Secretariat said.

 

Area is seen up partly because dry weather prevented many farmers from sowing corn or wheat and those fields were planted with soybeans.

 

Farmers also planted more soy because of its higher price compared with other crops. USDA has forecast Argentina's 2005-06 soybean output at 41.3 million tonnes.

  

July NOPA crush exceeds expectations

 

The National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) last week said its members crushed 3.88 million tonnes of soybeans in July.

 

The figure was above the average trade estimate of 3.73 million tonnes and well above the 3.57 million tonnes NOPA reported for the month of June. Cumulative crush for the year is reported at 38.1 million tonnes compared to 37.6 million tonnes reported through July 2005.

 

Soyoil stocks increased to 1.22 million tonnes, up from 1.15 million tonnes in June. The average of trade estimates projected stocks at 1.18 million tonnes.

 

U.S. & South America Soybean/Products Balance

 

United States 

Argentina

Brazil

Actual

Estimate

Proj.

Actual

Estimate

Proj.

Actual

Estimate

Proj.

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07

Soybeans

thousand tonnes

 Carryin

3,059

6,960

15,502

1,657

810

673

3,400

1,535

1,147

 Production

85,013

83,999

83,824

39,000

40,500

41,300

53,000

55,700

56,000

 Imports

152

108

109

779

800

860

408

428

450

 Crush

46,160

46,675

47,627

29,010

29,551

30,700

29,730

28,200

28,500

 Exports

30,011

24,494

29,665

10,000

10,250

9,800

22,798

25,700

25,500

 Other

5,093

4,396

4,326

1,616

1,636

1,652

2,745

2,616

2,324

 Usage

81,264

75,565

81,618

40,626

41,437

42,152

55,273

56,516

56,324

   Carryout

6,960

15,502

17,817

810

673

681

1,535

1,147

1,273

Soymeal

thousand tonnes

 Carryin

191

155

227

1,350

877

594

753

896

546

 Production

36,938

36,708

37,816

22,907

23,340

24,330

22,917

22,071

22,565

 Domestic use

30,448

30,300

30,935

537

573

602

8,735

9,350

9,550

 Net Exports

6,526

6,336

6,881

22,843

23,050

23,796

14,039

13,071

12,970

 Usage

36,974

36,636

37,816

23,380

23,623

24,398

22,774

22,421

22,520

   Carryout

155

227

227

877

594

526

896

546

591

Soybean oil

thousand tonnes

 Carryin

488

771

1,265

660

542

431

293

128

126

 Production

8,781

9,101

8,970

5,404

5,496

5,850

5,588

5,400

5,415

 Domestic use

7,910

8,142

8,618

408

433

488

3,059

3,136

3,210

 Net exports

588

465

519

5,114

5,174

5,400

2,694

2,266

2,200

 Usage

8,498

8,607

9,137

5,522

5,607

5,888

5,753

5,402

5,410

   Carryout

771

1,265

1,098

542

431

393

128

126

131

 

USDA Export Sales (tmt) - Week of 10 August 2006

Country

Commodity

New Sales

Accum. Exports

 

Country

Commodity

New Sales

Accum. Exports

Canada

Soybeans

0.20

199.30

 

Japan

Soymeal

13.90

343.20

China

Soybeans

60.00

9531.60

 

Mexico

Soymeal

42.90

1277.70

Colombia

Soybeans

4.80

189.50

 

Nicaragua

Soymeal

0.40

54.70

Denmark

Soybeans

5.40

97.00

 

Philippines

Soymeal

5.60

426.70

Egypt

Soybeans

8.50

540.40

 

Salvador

Soymeal

1.00

116.70

Indonesia

Soybeans

9.00

1167.60

 

Saudi Arabia

Soymeal

17.00

102.10

Mexico

Soybeans

82.90

3418.90

 

Australia

Soyoil

1.10

1.10

Morocco

Soybeans

25.40

244.50

 

Costa Rica

Soyoil

0.30

27.10

Philippines

Soybeans

6.00

102.20

 

 

 

 

 

Taiwan

Soybeans

59.00

1741.80

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

Soymeal

10.00

995.20

 

Export Sales Totals (tmt)

Chile

Soymeal

26.30

154.80

 

Commodity

Outstanding Sales

Accum. Exports

New Sales

Colombia

Soymeal

18.00

315.10

 

Soybeans

1,732.70

24,496.70

257.50

Honduras

Soymeal

4.00

110.60

 

Soymeal

953.50

5,486.30

132.70

Hong Kong

Soymeal

1.20

16.10

 

Soyoil

22.70

289.90

0.90

 

Thursday Spot and Futures Prices, 17 August 2006

Item

Location

Sep

Dec

Jan

Soybeans ($/mt)

Central Ill./Chicago

202.64

207.42

212.10

FOB Gulf (Basis)

224.69

232.40

238.56

CIF Gulf Coast (Basis Chicago)

224.69

232.40

238.56

Board Crush Margin

$/mt

27.58

24.62

23.05

 

Sep

Oct

Dec

Soybean Meal 48%, HiPro ($/mt)

Central Ill./Chicago

176.92

178.13

180.45

FOB Gulf (Basis)

204.48

204.59

205.80

West Coast (Basis)

227.62

226.63

226.74

Soybean Meal 44% ($/mt)

Central Ill./Chicago

176.92

178.13

180.45

FOB Gulf (Basis)

193.45

193.56

194.78

West Coast (Basis)

216.60

215.61

215.72

Soybean Oil, Crude ($/mt)

Central Ill./Chicago

548.06

553.13

560.85

FOB Gulf (Basis)

526.02

531.09

538.80

 

Beans

Meal

Oil

1 year ago prices

Chicago, $/mt

224.04

201.43

496.23

 

 

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