August 18, 2008

 

Logistics may sink Kazakhstan's grain export plans

 
 

Kazakhstan has pledged to lift a ban on grain exports on September 1, but warned bumper harvests in Russia and Ukraine this year could clog transport routes it uses to access western grain markets.

 

Kazakhstan, the world's sixth biggest grain supplier, banned exports in April.
 
The ban was in reaction to Kazakhstan exporting wheat at a record 1.1 million-1.4 million metric tonnes a month for a total 8 million tonnes out of the 2007 harvest.
 
This came too close to the maximum 9 million tonnes which in the government's view could be exported without creating shortages on the domestic market. Kazakhstan harvested 20.1 million tonnes of grain last year.

 

Akylbek Kurishbaev, the Kazakh agriculture minister, said a surge in Russian and Ukrainian grain exports anticipated this autumn could prevent Kazakhstan from accessing Black Sea and Azov Sea ports and railway lines serving the ports.

 

Ukraine's grain production could jump by as much as 40 percent this year, he noted.

 

As a result of intense grain loadings by Russian and Ukrainian traders between September and December, Black and Azov Sea ports will be fully loaded until the new year, thereby preventing Kazakh grain exports, he said.

 
Export by the Sarakhs railway across Afghanistan and Iran was also difficult because of U.N. economic sanctions against Iran and because Iran was too slow returning railway cars.
 
The export of grain through the Caspian port of Aktau was also made difficult by the high railway transportation tariff, which added US$10-11 a tonne to the grain price.
 

Kazakhstan sold just under half of last year's record 20.1 million-tonne harvest to world markets where its grain is prized for its high gluten and protein content.

 

Mr Kurishbaev said Kazakhstan would produce 16 million  to 17 million  tonnes of grain this year, if weather conditions were favourable. It plans to boost the figure to at least 22 million tonnes within the next few years.

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