July 24, 2008

 

Thursday: China soybean futures settle down, off session low; oversold

 

 

China's soybean futures traded on the Dalian Commodity Exchange settled mostly lower Thursday after their counterparts on the Chicago Board of Trade broke through the support of US$14.00 per bushel overnight.

 

The benchmark January 2009 soybean contract settled RMB13 lower at RMB4,545 a metric tonne, or down 0.3%, after trading in a broad range of RMB4,478-RMB4,668/tonne.

 

November soybeans on the CBOT closed 25 cents lower at US$13.84/bushel Wednesday, ending off a session low of US$13.63/bushel.

 

The continuous losses in crude oil prices and a favorable weather outlook also left long position holders with less confidence, said analysts.

 

However, the DCE benchmark soybeans managed to move up into positive territory by noon, as there were some short-covering and new long positions entering the market at RMB4,500/tonne on bargain-hunting.

 

The market was oversold during the recent tumble, and the soybeans are likely to consolidate in a narrow range above RMB4,500/tonne in the short term, as traders will be waiting for a clearer weather outlook leading to the harvest season, said Gao Yunyue, an analyst at Dadi Futures Brokerage.

 

If the weather remains good until early August, there will be little room for pushing soybean prices higher, he added.

 

Soybean oil and palm oil futures settled lower, while soybean meal and corn futures settled higher.

 

Thursday's settlement prices in yuan a metric tonne and volume for all contracts in lots (One lot is equivalent to 10 tonnes):

 

Contract          Settlement          Price          Change          Volume

Soybean            Jan 2009          4,545          Dn  13         1,134,360

Corn                  Jan 2009         1,884           Up   2            227,462

Soy Meal           Jan 2009          3,745           Up   3            725,932

Palm Oil            Sep 2008          9,036          Dn  60             23,356

Soy Oil              Jan 2009        10,336          Dn  68            370,950
   

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