Wheat farmers in New South Wales are on track to deliver a record yielding winter crop, a cereals analyst said today (July 13).

The projection comes after more than a decade of failed crops for farmers in New South Wales, which typically accounts for about 30% of national wheat output.

Frank McRae, technical specialist, cereals, in the New South Wale's Industry & Investment department, said rainfall in May, June and July had produced the best conditions in years for crops across the state's central and southern regions.

"Continued rain and ideal spring conditions could turn around the fortune of our farmers with the possibility of state-wide average yield of 2.7 tonnes a hectare for wheat," McRae said.

In June, the federal Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (Abare) estimated New South Wales wheat production at 6.59 million tonnes from 3.95 million hectares, for a yield of 1.67 tonnes per hectare, compared with a longer-term average of 1.4 tonnes per hectare.

Abare estimated national wheat production at 22.1 million tonnes this crop year, from 21.7 million tonnes in the last period ended March 31, about two-thirds of which was available for export.

New South Wales was also forecast to produce 9.8 million tonnes of winter crop. The national forecast was for 35.1 million tonnes, Abare said.