June 11, 2007

 

Argentina's soy output forecast raised to 47.1 million tonnes

 

 

The Buenos Aires Cereals Exchange upped its forecast for 2006/07 soy production to 47.1 million tonnes Friday (Jun 8).

 

The new forecast is 400,000 tonnes higher than the previous estimate.

 

High yields in the late harvest boosted output, according to the exchange.

 

As of June 8, farmers have harvested 98.3 percent of the soy crop, the exchange said in its weekly crop report Friday.

 

The US Department of Agriculture sees Argentina producing 45.5 million tonnes of soybeans this year while the Agricultural Secretariat estimates production of 45.2 million tonnes.

 

Wheat

 

Argentina's farmers surged ahead with 2007/08 wheat planting this week, rushing to get seeds in the ground ahead of forecasts for continued dry weather, according to the exchange.

 

Farmers had been holding off for rain, but with no showers expected in the near future, they chose to plant before soil moisture levels dropped further, the exchange said.

 

Growers have planted 23.5 percent of the 5.4 million hectares forecast for wheat in the 2007/08 season, 4.6 points ahead of the pace at this time last year, according to the exchange.

 

Corn

 

Farmers have harvested 82.4 percent of this year's corn crop, 5.3 points behind last year's pace.

 

Yields from the 2006/07 crop are expected to total 8 tonnes per hectare, with total production of 22.5 million tonnes, according to the exchange.

 

The Secretariat and the USDA forecast 22 million tonnes of corn coming from this year's crop.

 

Estimates for Argentina's 2007/08 crop production in millions of hectares (Ha) or millions of tonnes (MT).

   

 

Wheat

Soy

Corn

Sunseed

Agriculture Secretariat

5.2 Ha

N.A.

N.A.

N.A.

USDA

12.8 MT

N.A.

24 MT

N.A.

B.A. Cereals Exchange

5.4 Ha

N.A.

N.A.

N.A.

 

Estimates for Argentina's 2006/07 crop production in millions of tonnes:

  

 

Wheat

Soy

Corn

Sunseed

Agriculture Secretariat

14

45.2

22

3.44

USDA

14.2

45.5

22

3.5

B.A. Cereals Exchange

13.8

46.7

22.5

3.4

 

 

Argentina's historical production estimates in millions of tonnes, according to the Agriculture Secretariat:

 

 

Wheat

Soy

Corn

Sunseed

2005/06

12.6

40.5

14.5

3.8

2004/05

16

38.3

20.5

3.7

2003/04

14.6

31.6

15

3.1

2002/03

12.3

35

14.7

3.4

2001/02

15.3

30

15.4

3.8

 

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