June 6, 2013

 

BPEX Export Bulletin- 31 May 2013 (Week 22)   
          

 

CAHE was again competitive with a strong presence from key pig genetic exporters, particularly from Denmark and the Netherlands. The British stand was kept very busy, with breeders reporting good business. BPEX presented a paper to the World Pig Forum. Good shipments of gilts and boars to China is expected to happen in 2013.

 

May 31 is the deadline for the implementation of the porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRS) measures on pork exports to South Africa. BPEX, in collaboration with Defra, have worked hard in recent months in order to produce a list of PRRS-free cuts acceptable to Australia's Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry (DAFF). The Export Health Certificate for PRRS-free products is being revised accordingly under 7579EHC and a new certificate for pork for further processing has been made available under the revised 7319EHC.

 

A pork consignment to the US was rejected because the identification number was not followed by the letter "A", thus the consignment did not match the documentation. Over the last couple of weeks, New Zealand meat exports to China were blocked as the authorities of New Zealand changed the title of the Ministry on the top of some certificates.

 

 
China

 

SPECIAL REPORT: TAKE OVER OF SMITHFIELD FOODS BY SHUANGHUI
 
This momentous event that is likely to change the face of world pork production was predictable. BPEX has discussed that the Chinese would make further major investments in Europe and North America in two strategic directions: to secure food supplies and acquire technology. The high offer at US$ 7.1 billion, including debt, represents a premium of 31% to Tuesday's close and a hefty 17 times forward earnings. It is likely to be approved by shareholders, the Committee on Foreign Investment and Competition authorities. The proposed alternative would have been a break up of the group. This would have made it unattractive to Chinese buyers who favour integrated businesses and it would not have been assured that buyers would have been found for the pig production division. Shuanghui and Smithfield have been collaborating over the last four years.

 

US farmers will be pleased, as Chinese ownership opens the door to greater exports to China. It is an important and welcome signal, that Chinese imports are here to stay. Imports are predicted to increase from the current 2% of total Chinese consumption, excluding offal. Despite formidable investment, domestic Chinese production continues to face major challenges. In this sense, British pork producers should welcome the deal.

 

Food safety, a given in the Western World, is a major issue in China, from dairy infant formula to poultry and pork. Access to safe, quality pork is part of the deal. Shuanghui was previously affected by a major scandal two years ago. The association with Smithfield Foods, already the largest pork exporter to China, will benefit from the association of a foreign name on th Shuanghui brand.  

 

Smithfield currently exports 20% of its production. Larry Pope, Smithfield's CEO, now expects exports to increase. It is also interesting to note that Smithfield is leading the US with ractopamine-free pork as Chinese and Russian authorities have clamped down on the presence of the feed additive.
 
 
France
 
Industry in trouble

Both producers and processors are affected by rising costs of raw material for pig feed, which have increased by 31%. Retailers refuse to raise prices. Competition, mainly from Germany and Spain, is another threat to the French industry. Focus on development of Viande Porcine Française and increased export development are both seen as key elements to improve returns. The recent visit to China by President François Hollande should strengthen France's position on the Chinese market, notably for stomachs, pig ears, trotters and other parts highly valued on Asian markets.
 
VPF everywhere

Following a declaration of support from the Minister of Agriculture, Stéphane Le Foll, French pig producers are increasing pressure on the French government. On May 14, the Minister confirmed his wish to see prices improve and one retailer, Système U, agreed to increase prices as long as it is guaranteed to be passed on to the producer. Jean-Michel Serres, President of the Pig Producers Association, mentioned that Intermarché would approve price increases, at least on fresh pig meat. Following this, producers have decided to make their point and are increasing store checks to ensure the visibility of the VPF logo, not only on standard brands but also on retailers' own brands.
 
Retailers/cooperatives engage in debate
 
FCD, the Federation of French retailers, has declared that cooperatives are trying to protect their returns from higher cereal prices. Jacques Creyssel, General Delegate of FCD, has pointed out that Xavier Beulin, the current President of FNSEA (Farmers' Union), is also president of Sofiproteol which is the largest oilseed crusher with a turnover of US$9.6 billion and a major operator in the animal feed sector.
 
Markets
 
Pigs
 
According to "Marché du porc breton", the market is described as stable to firm. On Monday, the 56 TMP basic price eased by US$0.03 in the context of stable demand and reduced supplies.

 

Piglets: The European market remained low at the beginning of the week. Demand is stable and supplies are also very stable. The market is reported good for pork butchers and FNP-FNCBV prices. As a result, prices increased by US$0.02 for 25kg pigs and US$0.37 for post-weaning piglets.

 

Cuts
 
The end of the month is not a positive time for pork consumption. However, with the imminent approach of June, it is hoped that the market will improve by the end of the week, in spite of a weather forecast which is looking more like autumn.
 

Pork prices Rungis - Week commencing 27 May 2013

Cut name 

Price range (Euro/Kg) 

Back fat, rind-on

0,85

Trimmings

1,73

Leg

2,77

Loin including chump

3,17

Loin excluding chump

2,95

Belly extra without trimmings

2,85

 
 

Denmark
 

High Danish earnings in Eastern Europe

The six leading Danish agricultural companies with Eastern European investments have earned nearly US$177.1 million (after tax) over the past five years in Eastern European countries. The companies have increased revenue by between 60% and 500% over the past five years, according to an industry survey. Almost US$85.3 million, or half of the total revenue, stems from the largest and most successful company, the Axzon subsidiary Poland Invest PLC, which produces pigs on huge farms in Poland and the Ukraine. Axzon has its own slaughterhouse in Poland, Poldanor. Poland Invest has increased both revenue and profit. Revenue increased, from US$118.1 million in 2008, to US$193 million in 2012, giving a bottom line profit of US$41 million. Virtually, all the profit is reinvested annually. (Source, Berlingske).
 
Markets

On EU markets, fresh hams and loins have been traded at stable levels, while the trade for shoulders and manufacturing meat remains under pressure. For necks and tenderloins, trade has remained stable at similar price levels. The UK bacon market remains quiet with stable volumes being traded. For markets outside Europe, steady sales have been reported to China and Japan, while trade to Russia is improving. However, shipments to the Russian market remain lower than year-earlier volumes.
  

 Danish Slaughterhouses - payments week commencing 27 May 2013

Slaughterhouse 

Danish Crown 

Tican 

Slaughter pigs (70.0 – 86.9 kg)

Euro 1.426

Euro 1.426

Difference to last week

unchanged

unchanged

Sows (Above 129.9 kg)

Euro 0.918

Euro 0.918

Difference to last week

unchanged

unchanged

Boars (Above 109.9 kg)

Euro 0.786

Euro 0.786

Difference to last week

unchanged

unchanged

 


Germany
 
Clear overcapacity


Bank ABN Amro points out overcapacity in the European pig slaughter sector, particularly in Germany. With stagnant or slightly decreasing consumption and production, primary processors find it hard to compete against players in Brazil and the US which operate with higher margins. (Source, Boerderij Vandaag)
 
Minimum wage

Niedersachsen, the major pig producing region of Germany is aiming to implement a minimum wage for the sector of US$11.15 /hour. The German meat sector has been accused, as recently as April, by the Belgians of unfair competition by employing East European workers on low wages. (Source, Boerderij Vandaag)
 
IFFA progress

The world largest meat technology fair that takes place every three years in Frankfurt attracted a record audience of 60,000 visitors from 142 countries. (Source, AFZ)
 

Pork prices Hamburg Market Week commencing 27 May 2013

Cut name 

Price range (Euro/Kg) 

Round cut leg

2.20/2.35

Leg (boneless, rindless max fat level 3mm

3.00/3.25

Boneless Shoulder

2.40/2.60

Picnic Shoulder 

1.90/2.10

Collar

2.55/2.75

Belly (bone in, ex-breast)

2.40/2.75

Sheet Boned Belly (rindless)

2.25/2.45

Jowl

1.55/1.70

Half Pig Carcasses U class. 

1.94/2.02

 
 

Netherlands
 

Fall of weaner prices
 
The price of weaners has declined by US$13.12 to US$51.18/head recently, driven by lower demand from Spain with export numbers falling from 16,000 to 1,500/week. This follows exactly last year's trend and a recovery is forecasted. However, pig breeders are losing money at this level. (Source, Boerderij Vandaag)
 
Sustainable pork specification unclear

Researchers from LTO and the pig producers' association NVV are unclear on the way forward for sustainable pork. A rise in supermarket prices with a new specification is likely. (Source, Boerderij Vandaag)
 
 

Belgium
 

Higher pig slaughterings
 
In March, slaughter throughputs were 5% higher compared with the same month in 2012 to 1.02 milllion, confirming the growth of output since the beginning of the year. This follows a fall in production in 2012. (Source, Boerderij Vandaag)
 
 

Italy
 

Fiorucci in good form
 
Turnover at the major pork processor reached US$289 million in 2012. It exports 23% of its 40,000 tonne production to 60 countries. The group, created in 1850, has four factories in Italy. There's another facility in the US which is employing 614 staff. It was bought by Campofrio in 2011. (Source, Mercato & Imprese)
 
YouTube hit

Fiorucci has produced a fun video hit, Potere e salumi, viewed by 2.3 million Italians, based on a theme regarding corruption and salami. A must see at: http://www.youtube.com/watch feature=player_detailpage&v=KH7mjy6zSXE
  

 

Spain
  

Pork prices Barcelona Market Week commencing 27 May 2013

Cut Name 

Price range (Euro/Kg)

Gerona Loin Chops

2.38/2.41

Loin Eye Muscle

3.23/3.26

Spare Ribs

2.93/2.96

Fillets

5.23/5.26

Round Cut Legs

2.68/2.71

Cooked Ham

2.45/2.52

Rindless Picnic Shoulder

1.69/1.72

Belly

2.40/2.43

Smoked Belly with Spare Rib Section Cut off

2.83/2.86

Shoulder chap or Head Jowls

1.13/1.16

Back Fat, Rindless

0.68/0.71

 
 

USA
   

Curiosities
 
Among the latest niche developments in the US, one must include peanut-fed pigs used for the production of smoked dry cured ham and cannabis-fed pork from Seattle where the drug is now allowed. (Source, various)
 

Dominican Republic
 
Dealing with CSF
 
With Classical Swine Fever (CSF) endemic in the country, the government plans to eradicate the disease over 18 months, using a system of vaccination combined with the development of CSF-free zones. (Source, Ministerio de Agricultura)
 
 

Ukraine
 

Stable prices forecast

Arthur Loza, President of the Ukraine Pig-breeders Association, has forecasted that slaughter pig prices should remain stable in the Ukraine throughout 2013 at between US$2.45/kg and US$2.58/kg. He commented that, if Brazilian pork imports resume, the price could drop to US$2.33/kg. Market conditions for the development of pig breeding are favourable due to the positive harvest forecast which will result in cheaper feed. The Association estimates Ukrainian pork production will reach 750,000 tonnes in 2013 compared with 730,000 tonnes in 2012. (Source, Pigua.info)
 
 
Russia

Pig-breeding industry keeps breaking the records

The production of pork within the corporate sector in Russia has increased during the January-to-April period by 134,200 tonnes, or 30%, compared with the same period a year ago. The main driver for the increase has been the launch of new production facilities following the completion of many investment projects. At the same time, imported pork volumes remain high, despite being lower than year-earlier levels, totalling 310,000 tonnes during the four-month period. (Source, Pigua.info)
 
 
China
 
Casing-hungry
 
With demand for sausages increasing fast, China is now the world's largest market for natural and artificial casings. Last February, Viscofan, the market leader, opened a US$43 million factory near Shanghai. Local demand for sheep casings should maintain strong prices. (Source, Meat Trades Journal).
 
US imports
 
Tianxin Livestock Breeding will import 1,200 GGP breeding pigs from the US for its Hunan production. (Source, CN Agri)
 
Expansion in the West

Sichuan Giastar Group is developing a production base for 200,000 pigs and 200,000 broilers annually. Economic developments are increasingly focused in the poorer West of China with growth rates of 15% to 17% per year against 6% to 8% in the East. (Source, CN Agri)
 

Chinese wholesale prices week commencing 27 May 2013

 

Price (RMB/Kg)

£/Kg

change on week

Pig Carcase

18.82

2.02

1.78%

Source: BOACL

Prices collected from wholesale markets in 36 medium and large Chinese cities

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