March 12, 2010

 

Friday: China soy futures settle down with metals; rate hike worries

 

 

China's soy futures traded on the Dalian Commodity Exchange settled lower Friday, along with the fall on outside markets on rate hike concerns.

 

The benchmark September 2010 soy contract settled down RMB41, or 1.1%, at RMB3,815 a metric tonne.

 

The contract opened lower and remained in negative territory for the whole session.

 

The fall on Chicago Board of Trade overnight as well as uncertainties in local tightening policies both pressured the market.

 

People's Bank of China Vice Governor Su Ning indicated China must diligently watch inflation risk as he estimated the on-year rise in consumer prices this year will be faster in the first half than the second simply due to a low base effect.

 

Stronger-than-expected February CPI data as well as other strong Chinese economic data issued earlier this week have prompted the market to expect an imminent rate hike.

 

Various rumors ran through China markets about the potential for some sort of near-term tightening--such as interest rates could be hiked 27 basis points as soon as Monday and the reserve requirement ratio may be lifted--several traders said Friday.

 

The soy market is now in a mood to sell, as supply pressure and rate hike concerns need to be further digested, Galaxy Futures said in a note.

 

Trading volume of all soy contracts declined to 314,146 lots from 498,142 lots Thursday.

 

Open interest fell 1,000 lots to 370,348 lots Friday.

 

Corn futures settled higher, while soyoil, palm oil and soymeal futures settled lower.

 

Following are Friday's settlement prices in yuan a tonne for benchmark contracts and volume for all contracts in lots (one lot is equivalent to 10 tonnes):

 

Product    Contract  Settlement Price     Change     Volume

Soy         Sep 2010      3,815          Down   41    314,146

Corn       Sep 2010      1,876            Up    4     48,834

Soymeal  Sep 2010      2,749          Down   39    809,578

Palm Oil   Sep 2010      6,920          Down   56    338,380

Soyoil     Sep 2010      7,500          Down   64    437,844 
   

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