January 19, 2009

                                     
China soy imports strong on high crushing margin-survey
                                     

 

Chinese crushers have purchased as much as 1.5 million tonnes of soy in the first half of this month as crushers stepped up imports on rising domestic prices of soy products, according to an official survey.

 

Crushing margins for soy plants have hit the highest level due to surging soymeal and soyoil prices ahead of the Lunar Chinese New Year, the China National Grain and Oils Information Centre (CNGOIC) said in a report.

 

China purchased 861,800 tonnes last week; its largest purchase of US soybeans in a single week since June.

 

CNGOIC said Chinese imports were expected to remain at a high level in coming weeks.

 

CNGOIC also said tight soymeal supplies pushed up prices in the week, and they were expected to keep rising and crushers in coastal areas were running at a lower capacity due to strict quarantines and delay in shipments.

 

According to the report, high soymeal prices have bit into demand, which would decrease as merchants were not active buyers at such high prices.

 

It said as feed mills and merchants have completed stockpiling ahead of the New Year holidays, soymeal demand is likely to decline, which may lead the price to fall by a big margin.

 

Soyoil market softened as the government's release of soyoil reserves in some areas has effectively increased supplies.

 

Demand in the coming weeks was expected to continue falling, though consumption has remained high ahead of the holidays.

 

The corn market turned bullish for the first time in months as the government's purchases for reserves in the northeast provinces shored up prices.

 

Traders and processors were still not active buyers in the market, leading to a tight supply of corn at ports.

 

Corn prices in the north and in major consuming areas in the south picked up as feed mills were building inventories.

 

Wheat market weakened as flour sales remained low. The government is likely to raise bidding prices at its weekly wheat auctions, but flour mills were seen not active in bidding.

 

Beijing has agreed to purchase 58.5 million tonnes of grains to shore up domestic prices.
                                                                            
The centre gave the following index data:

                                                                                                                                                                 

 
Jan 14
Jan 7
Dec 31
Soy
52.50
52.50
48.80
Soymeal
49.50
54.50
51.00
Soyoil
48.30
57.50
53.30
Corn
52.40
50.70
50.90
Wheat
50.00
51.00
50.80
                       
A reading below 50.0 indicates participants are bearish, a reading of 50.0 indicates they are neutral and a reading above 50.0 indicates they are bullish.
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