October 19, 2011


EU's cereal production to show decrease


EU's cereal production for the year 2011/12 is expected to be 277.4 million tonnes, 0.2% less than in 2010/11, according to a forecast published Friday (Oct 14).


This is the first time the Commission has published its "short-term outlook for main agricultural commodity markets" and follows a commitment given by EU Agriculture Commissioner Dacian Ciolos at the meeting of G20 agriculture ministers in June of this year.


Cereal markets are expected to remain relatively tight in the EU, according to the outlook, and a further reduction in stocks is expected. EU exports are expected to decline considerably, to 21.8 million tonnes. The soft wheat crop in the EU is expected to be 127.4 million tonnes, a slight drop (0.1%) from the previous year. The Commission predicts a sharp rise in corn production in Europe, up 6.4% to 61 million tonnes. Oilseed production is expected to fall by 2.2% to around 28 million tonnes.

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